Changing climate and extreme floods in the British uplands

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dc.contributor.author Macklin, Mark G.
dc.contributor.author Rumsby, B. T.
dc.date.accessioned 2008-12-16T12:58:18Z
dc.date.available 2008-12-16T12:58:18Z
dc.date.issued 2007-04
dc.identifier.citation Macklin , M G & Rumsby , B T 2007 , ' Changing climate and extreme floods in the British uplands ' Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers , vol 32 , no. 2 , pp. 168-186 . en
dc.identifier.issn 0020-2754
dc.identifier.other PURE: 96283
dc.identifier.other dspace: 2160/1693
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/2160/1693
dc.description Macklin, Mark, Rumsby, B.T., (2007) 'Changing climate and extreme floods in the British uplands', Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 32(2) pp.168-186 RAE2008 en
dc.description.abstract Recent devastating flood events in the British uplands have focused attention on flood prediction and risk assessment, and highlighted one of the most important challenges facing river basin managers in the UK. The short instrumental record of river flow in the UK and the sparse distribution of gauges in upland river basins hamper predictions of future flooding. In this study, we compare and evaluate all lichen-dated flood deposits from UK upland river basins in order to assess changing flood risk over the last 250 years. Our analysis indicates that the incidence and size of extreme events have markedly decreased over the last 50 years, and may be at their lowest level since ad 1750. Occurrence of extreme upland floods over the last 200–300 years appears to be associated with negative North Atlantic Oscillation index values and significant non-stationarity evident in the historical flood series is shown to relate to decadal and multi-decadal scale climatic fluctuations. en
dc.format.extent 19 en
dc.language.iso eng
dc.relation.ispartof Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers en
dc.subject British uplands en
dc.subject extreme floods en
dc.subject flood risk assessment en
dc.subject climate change en
dc.subject lichenometry en
dc.subject North Atlantic Oscillation en
dc.title Changing climate and extreme floods in the British uplands en
dc.type Text en
dc.type.publicationtype Article (Journal) en
dc.identifier.doi http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-5661.2007.00248.x
dc.contributor.institution Institute of Geography & Earth Sciences en
dc.contributor.institution River Basin Dynamics and Hydrology en
dc.description.status Peer reviewed en


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